How Good Are We? – 1/9/16

There have been a lot of questions raised over the last few weeks about the relative strength of the Brentford squad and how well we are equipped to face the challenges that doubtless lie ahead in what is likely to be the strongest Championship in living memory given the quite ridiculous sums of money sloshing around and the size of the fees already invested in players by the likes of Newcastle, Aston VIlla, Norwich and Sheffield Wednesday.

How on earth can a Brentford team hamstrung by the fact that the club has almost the smallest attendances and lowest revenue in the division compete on a level playing field with its richer brethren?

Well the truth of course is that the playing field is far from level or even and the Bees quite simply have to do everything different, better and smarter if they are not to be left trailing in the wake of their opponents.

Their strategy is clear and uncompromising – buy cheap and sell dear and concentrate almost exclusively on signing talented young players from both home and abroad with development potential and when the time is right, sell them at the top of the market and start the entire process again.

So far this policy has worked like a dream and will continue to do so as long as we continue to recruit well and persuade players and their agents that Brentford is a perfect steppingstone club which will put young players in the spotlight and provide them with the framework in which to improve and shine before eventually moving on.

Given the vast sums being spent on transfers in the Championship and the undisputed fact that many clubs are recruiting better and smarter, it has become harder and harder for Brentford to maintain their competitive advantage and stay ahead. Barnsley in particular are using analytics very cleverly and signing some interesting players from all levels of the game.

Whenever asked I stated quite firmly that no judgements on this season’s activity and strength of squad should be made until 1st September once the Transfer Window had closed until next January.

So here we are in September and how well do I think we have done?

Pretty damn well is my verdict, particularly given the problems we faced, but I suspect it was a close run thing as matters went pretty much to the wire and could quite easily have gone differently, in which case we’d have had quite a different tale to tell today.

From the squad that finished last season we have lost all three loanees in Djuricin, Swift and Canos, Button and Bidwell made it clear that they would not extend their contracts and therefore needed to be sold and O’Connell departed for Shffield United.

Judge too remains on the long term injured list and it is doubtful if he will be seen much before Christmas and a difficult decision will need to be made about him in January given that his contract ends next Summer.

Have we adequately replaced the players we have lost and perhaps even strengthened?

Button was a marvellously consistent goalkeeper but on early evidence Bentley is sublime and is surely earmarked for greater things. Hopefully we can get the tribunal with Southend sorted as soon as possible as I suspect that he will be in great demand perhaps as soon as January.

Bidwell was a mainstay of the team – Mr Reliable – but signing Rico Henry is a massive coup.

Injured he may be now but in Bentley and Henry we now possess two potential full international footballers, and I am not exaggerating when I say that. The fee for Henry is substantial and could reach eye watering proportions but we are likely to benefit greatly from his services before he leaves us at some point for a huge profit.

Our policy of protecting the future also paid dividends with Alfie Mawson whose move to Swansea for a fee of around £5 million, a sum that highlights the madhouse that football has become, has led to us benefiting from a sell-on clause reputed to be around 40%.

If that figure is accurate then Mawson, a youngster who never played a league game for us, has paid for Rico Henry. Good business indeed!

Kaikai finally arrived yesterday not without some mishaps and he has the potential to replace Canos whose pace, cutting edge and enthusiasm have been sorely missed.

Since last season ended the Bees have signed four top quality players from the Third Division in Bentley, Egan, Sawyers and Henry, indeed with the exception of Gillingham’s Bradley Dack, probably the best players in that division.

Two talented Premier League quality  loanees in Elder and Kaikai complete our recruitment which has been totally exceptional and well in line with the club’s ethos.

Analyst Ted Knutson recently highlighted Henry as the top prospect in the lower leagues and also mentioned Colin and Barbet as likely Premier League players in the making and the Bees now have a whole raft of promising young players whose value can only appreciate as they continue to improve.

Therevis also much talent bubbling under in the newly formed B team who can fill in if necessary.

The other exceptional news was that of Ryan Woods extending his contract for four more years  and that means that the majority of their best players are now on long contracts and the club’s position is therefore protected for the midterm.

Of course we could have hoped for more, another striker or winger, or that long awaited tough tackling defensive midfielder but the club has to work within its limitations and I believe that we are now well equipped to face the challenge of the Championship with equanimity and we should be one of the division’s better teams.

 I expect further tweeking to the squad in January by which time we should know far more about whether Josh McEachran can establish himself, if KK’s excellent late season form was a flash in the pan and if Lasse Vibe and Philipp Hofmann can provide Hogan with the support he needs.

Kaikai will score goals but Sawyers and Macleod will also need to step up to the plate and score regularly.

We will have bad days too but in essence we have put together a decent squad that should ensure that we are defensively sound, competitive, attractive and good to watch.

Advertisements

6 thoughts on “How Good Are We? – 1/9/16

  1. Given that Mawson, as you say Greville, pays for Henry, and the sums received for Bidwell, Button and O’Connell must more than pay for Bentley and Egan, we have improved the squad and even made a small transfer profit. What it has done for the wage bill, on the other hand, may be a different story, especially as Elder and Kaikai may be costing us Premier League wages.

    Like

  2. Good to see all of the summer’s activity laid out like this, and it is now time to reflect. I’m very happy with yesterday’s dealings and with these inclusions our squad should have better balance to it eventually. Henry is a major coup, and along with the arrival of Bentley it should help to attract other talented players to our club. Those with brains and not simply a desire to accumulate flashy watches and cars whilst sitting on the bench elsewhere. Whilst the window has been very difficult and the market crazy, i’d have felt some concern without the arrival of KaiKai – hopefully he is someone who is ready to come straight into the side, and at best i’d say the window was OK for us, and that we may have come out marginally stronger if we are lucky, this coupled in the realisation that we are now competing in a far more challenging division. It doesn’t help that we have 4 good central defenders yet do still lack something in our attacking options. I was surprised that we didn’t move a couple of players on, but with a fairly thin squad Smith (ever the pragmatist) needs bodies until better can be found. Injecting some pace and width may help other parts of the team to click now, showing off the qualities of others who are having to do jobs for the moment, hopefully this will be the case.

    For me the most positive thing was the statement of intent from MB to support DS and to pursue a number of targets within our constraints. It suggests that he’s as up for it as ever and is saying “bring it on” to the so called super powers, throwing around their failure payments and riddled with incompetence & waste. Sometimes I wish i didn’t love football and BFC quite so much, because the SKY / PL owned game is now so rigged in favour of the big boys and awash with greed, self interest and most that is wrong in human kind. Try as i might I couldn’t give it up though, and at least we get to follow a proper club trying to do it with some integrity and innovation. As you point out innovation isn’t our sole domain and other “smaller” clubs are taking up the challenge, targeting the best of L1 has worked for us this year, it might not next time and we must keep looking for new talent, here and abroad. Whilst we’ve pulled off some terrific signings this summer none could be described as under the radar and you really sense DS’s influence in most of them, and the trust that MB and co have in him.

    So long as we are luckier with injuries than last term, and can find a system that enables us to compete in games and collect points, i’d suggest a mid table position could be achieved. We all want to see eye catching passing football but I suspect some of this may be sacrificed as we become harder to beat. This is a trade off that I can live with as we build and grow. With 2 tough away games ahead, I think we’ll need to be patient and revert to the “us against the world” mentality of the early 2014/2015 season. Every reason to feel good, upbeat and to get everyone to GP and away from home, to support the club.

    The new stadium is on the horizon now, what a lift that gives us, but we have to try to to remain at this level whilst we wait to move in. It makes for tough decisions but is always interesting and never dull.

    See you at Brighton & Villa.

    Like

  3. Well said Greville (and Rebel Bee). Early observations from me are that we have decent competition for places in most positions now, which on our budget is pretty remarkable and means we are prepared for injuries come our way with some decent youngsters in the B team too (just wrap Bentley up in cotton wool though). Nice problem to have but hope we can keep players like Barbet and Bjelland happy picking splinters out of their backsides on the bench. Players like Sawyers and Elder will settle in given some more games at this level I’m sure and I’m already noticing a bit more bite and battle in our game compared to times last season when at times it was men against boys. All in all pleased and excited about us being competitive this season and upsetting a few of the big boys along the way. COYB

    Like

  4. Having read certain comments in various quarters suggesting we could & should have done more in this window your analysis certainly puts things into perspective for those with unrealistic expectations of our transfer activity.
    I have to say, I agree totally with Rebel Bee’s second paragraph as I too feel massive disillusionment with the game.If it wasn’t for a lifetime love of Football & the Bees in particular I would have “bailed”,long ago!
    I despair of the Premiership,the greed,the celebrity status afforded to some players & managers & of course our National Team whose pathetic performances defy description.
    However , thanks to MB we are in the Championship & our strategy,criticised by many,me included sometimes,is doing the business & provides us with the opportunity to compete.
    4 months until the craziness of the next window is with us again.Until then let’s all get behind the boys as they lock horns with the more privileged teams in the division.

    Liked by 1 person

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s